By Nicos Christodoulakis
This publication presents a quantitative framework for the research of clash dynamics and for estimating the industrial bills linked to civil wars. the writer develops converted Lotka-Volterra equations to version clash dynamics, to yield sensible representations of conflict strategies, and to permit us to evaluate lengthy clash traps. the industrial expenditures of civil wars are evaluated with assistance from substitute tools: first of all, the writer employs a construction functionality to figure out how the destruction of human and actual capital shares undermines fiscal progress within the medium time period. Secondly, he develops an artificial keep watch over technique, the place the price is bought because the divergence of exact financial job from a hypothetical course within the absence of civil struggle. the variation among the 2 ways provides a sign of the antagonistic externalities impinging upon the economic system within the type of institutional destruction. through the use of particular time-series relating to conflict casualties, neighborhood socio-economic signs, and capital inventory destruction throughout the Greek Civil struggle (1946-1949), a full-scale program of the above framework is gifted and discussed.
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An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 by Nicos Christodoulakis